Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.625372 0.699058 0.778960 0.872203 0.978231 1.095281 1.234605
2025-03-02 0.497262 0.594925 0.709232 0.853577 1.031934 1.246309 1.525302
2025-03-09 0.440208 0.551032 0.687562 0.869490 1.107588 1.411391 1.832849
2025-03-16 0.389777 0.505638 0.654298 0.861125 1.144742 1.524837 2.080942
2025-03-23 0.356622 0.477113 0.637267 0.868669 1.199352 1.662391 2.373212
2025-03-30 0.323299 0.444089 0.609577 0.856641 1.222656 1.755351 2.608853
2025-04-06 0.297530 0.418566 0.589018 0.851232 1.252810 1.858625 2.869055
2025-04-13 0.266949 0.383213 0.550821 0.815349 1.232221 1.880994 3.001746
2025-04-20 0.252405 0.369911 0.543423 0.824610 1.281098 2.015042 3.330782
2025-04-27 0.239671 0.358107 0.536975 0.834166 1.330432 2.153553 3.682786
2025-05-04 0.227665 0.346357 0.529424 0.840808 1.374824 2.287182 4.041260
2025-05-11 0.215938 0.334074 0.519897 0.843001 1.411228 2.409709 4.393276
2025-05-18 0.207143 0.326077 0.517004 0.856686 1.470025 2.580203 4.863788
2025-05-25 0.192686 0.307835 0.495927 0.837213 1.467612 2.638388 5.120989
2025-06-01 0.185970 0.301927 0.494970 0.852884 1.530783 2.826210 5.668104
2025-06-08 0.175735 0.289312 0.481532 0.844691 1.547789 2.925550 6.040599
2025-06-15 0.168912 0.282075 0.476861 0.852073 1.595219 3.090065 6.578443
2025-06-22 0.159673 0.269989 0.462703 0.840304 1.603345 3.174258 6.945191
2025-06-29 0.152119 0.260413 0.452394 0.835011 1.623892 3.286414 7.393144
2025-07-06 0.140942 0.243640 0.427829 0.799896 1.579401 3.253144 7.483863
2025-07-13 0.136575 0.239046 0.425579 0.808960 1.628908 3.432608 8.130594
2025-07-20 0.132513 0.234758 0.423588 0.818311 1.679783 3.620601 8.828518
2025-07-27 0.128342 0.230003 0.420370 0.824810 1.724874 3.800025 9.532342